Discussion forum for fans of Worcestershire County Cricket Club
 
HomeHome  ­PortalPortal  ­CalendarCalendar  ­GalleryGallery  ­FAQFAQ  ­SearchSearch  ­RegisterRegister  ­Log inLog in  
Affiliates
 
Follow us on Twitter
 
 

 

 
 
 
   
Latest topics
» England v Pakistan T20, Cardiff 5/9
Today at 1:30 am by Henry Crun

» Andy Murray
Today at 1:08 am by WBB

» Pred: Middx LVCC2 Away 7/9 -10/9
Today at 12:18 am by WBB

» The Warriors 2010-2011
Yesterday at 1:57 pm by warrior

» PRED: Sussex LVCC2 Home 13/9 - 16/9
Yesterday at 9:05 am by xraysteve

» Lancs CB40
Yesterday at 9:02 am by xraysteve

» England v Pakistan (4 test series)
Sat Sep 04, 2010 2:38 pm by WBB

» PRED: Lancs (A) CB40 4th September
Sat Sep 04, 2010 9:47 am by Tim Hall

» PRED: Surrey (A) CB40 1st Sept
Sat Sep 04, 2010 9:43 am by Tim Hall

Search
 
 

Display results as :
 
Rechercher Advanced Search
September 2010
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
  12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
27282930   
CalendarCalendar
Forum
Share | 
 

 Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1

View previous topic View next topic Go down 
AuthorMessage
asia exile



Number of posts: 815
Age: 36
Location: India
Registration date: 2008-09-10

PostSubject: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Mon Jul 20, 2009 8:52 pm

If we believe that the PCA MVP stats are a good reflection of performance the answer is yes

And the answer is not Glamorgan

I have added overall individual county batting points+bowling points+fielding points+ captaincy points+win points - which is exactly the way the PCA comes up with an individual players points. I have then divided by total number of games for the whole squad which I think is reasonable. OK captaincy points and win points are a bit misleading but these additions are numericallly small so we'll ignore their impact. I do not think there is any division weighting employed in the individual batting and bowling points but remember this is across all competitions.

D2 Leics 6.18
D2 Middx 6.81
D2 Glam 6.87
D2 Derby 6.95
D2 N'hants 7.15
D2 Surrey 7.32
D1 Warks 7.32
D2 Essex 7.37
D2 Gloucs 7.47
D1 Worcs 7.65
D1 Notts 7.83
D2 Kent 8.22
D1 Yorks 8.40
D1 Sussex 8.57
D1 Hants 8.87
D1 Lancs 8.95
D1 Somerset 9.03
D1 Durham 9.46

So I think I would be targeting the Bears home and away in the CC rtaher than the Cidermen

I bet if we take the Kolpaks away from this it'll make interesting reading though

We have the seventh best batting figures, the tenth best bowling figures and the seventh best fielding figures

James Foster is the top gloveman in the country, followed by daylight and then Steven Davies. Craig Kieswetter and Steven are the only two keepers in the country who have over 200 bating points. In terms of impact - average points per game the MVP is Prior followed by Kieswetter and then Davies.
Back to top Go down
View user profile
WBB



Number of posts: 3151
Age: 40
Location: West Bromwich
Registration date: 2008-08-14

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Mon Jul 20, 2009 8:56 pm

asia exile wrote:
If we believe that the PCA MVP stats are a good reflection of performance the answer is yes

And the answer is not Glamorgan

I have added overall individual county batting points+bowling points+fielding points+ captaincy points+win points - which is exactly the way the PCA comes up with an individual players points. I have then divided by total number of games for the whole squad which I think is reasonable. OK captaincy points and win points are a bit misleading but these additions are numericallly small so we'll ignore their impact. I do not think there is any division weighting employed in the individual batting and bowling points but remember this is across all competitions.

D2 Leics 6.18
D2 Middx 6.81
D2 Glam 6.87
D2 Derby 6.95
D2 N'hants 7.15
D2 Surrey 7.32
D1 Warks 7.32
D2 Essex 7.37
D2 Gloucs 7.47
D1 Worcs 7.65
D1 Notts 7.83
D2 Kent 8.22
D1 Yorks 8.40
D1 Sussex 8.57
D1 Hants 8.87
D1 Lancs 8.95
D1 Somerset 9.03
D1 Durham 9.46


We have the seventh best batting figures, the tenth best bowling figures and the seventh best fielding figures


Can you take this and nail this to some people's heads, asia- as this myth of this year being a failure is becoming an epidemic one.

Although some people will only be happy if they are moaning.
Back to top Go down
View user profile
warrior



Number of posts: 936
Age: 40
Location: Worcester
Registration date: 2008-09-08

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Mon Jul 20, 2009 9:07 pm

We ARE the weakest team in DIV 1. We are bottom FACT !!!!

A few sides in Div 2 are a lot weaker than us. Glamorgan- Leicestershire etc.
Back to top Go down
View user profile
Member1



Number of posts: 326
Age: 48
Location: Surrey
Registration date: 2008-09-09

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Mon Jul 20, 2009 9:59 pm

as my posting appears to have become a new topic in it's own right can I say that I was referring to the likely 11 for tomorrow.
Mind you would any of you bet on us beating anyone with this 11?
Back to top Go down
View user profile
Serchers



Number of posts: 3636
Age: 100
Location: Worcs
Registration date: 2008-08-11

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Mon Jul 20, 2009 11:34 pm

WBB >>> which myth are you referring to ? Loch Ness Monster ? Who shot Kennedy ? ET doesn't exist ?

Fact : we failed to progress in the FPT and lost (got thrashed) by Ireland
Fact : we didn't progress in the T20 again
Fact : bottom of CC, lost 6 matches out of 8 (no-one else has lost more than 3), we have 15 batting points from 8 matches, and 19 bowling points.
Fact : we've got many injuries and players out of form

Fact : we're NOT MOANING when we're stating the obvious Very Happy

I'm not entirely sure about Asia's figures because it doesn't seem right that the lowest scores are nearly all Div 2. There must be some form of weighting involved which distorts the stats a bit.

_________________
WCCC : County Champions Elect 2012
Back to top Go down
View user profile
Hotels before players



Number of posts: 616
Age: 49
Location: Worcester
Registration date: 2009-05-21

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 12:16 am

"as this myth of this year being a failure " wrote WBB

Myth ? I'm with Serchers.

WBB, how could the season to date have been worse ?
Back to top Go down
View user profile
WBB



Number of posts: 3151
Age: 40
Location: West Bromwich
Registration date: 2008-08-14

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 12:43 am

Well, you don't account for Asia's stats in your answer.

The season is not over yet. We can yell in October. I may yell louder than all of you- late converts are indeed more Catholic than the Pope, aren't they?

Rupert and I attended the AGM in February. It was a truly foul night with sleet of the wettest kind and snow- so I understand why no one else [?] came.

Who will come with Rupert [presumably so] and I next February if feelings are so strong?
Back to top Go down
View user profile
asia exile



Number of posts: 815
Age: 36
Location: India
Registration date: 2008-09-10

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 9:48 am

Quote:
We ARE the weakest team in DIV 1. We are bottom FACT !!!!


I agree - with reservations. On paper the divison 1 Warwickshire squad is currently weaker than ours and the division 2 Kent squad is currently stronger - what the figures can't level out is the playing field - literally. Of our fellow basement dwellers the Bears have not managed a win at Edgbaston since the last game of the season against Glamorgan on 24th September last year and their sole previous win there was in April 2007. Two home wins in nearly 3 seasons. Yorkshires last win at Headingley was on the season opener on 23rd April last year - 15 months ago. Stodgy flat pitches perhaps?

We have a good record against Somerset in the last 10 years home and away but there are now more players drinking Castle lager than Dry Blackthorn in the Taunton dressing room. silent

Another suprise is that Notts are only marginally better than us this year at this point in time across all formats - they have the personnel to fly high in the CC but have underperformed in the other competitions. Lancs are the best fielding outfit - Moores a bit of a disciplinarian on that front?

Would need to do a bit more research on how the batting and bowling points are generated but suggest that employing a weighting would defeat the purpose of producing these figures.

http://www.mycricketmvp.com/pages/view/how-it-works.html

Looks like the figures are cumulative - there are no 'multipliers' or 'scaling factors' so we can legitimately compare players from different divisions.

Therefore the lower overall squad scores in division 2 must reflect that the performance of the players and therefore the standard of the cricket is lower in division 2 as we have always known but been unable to put our finger on.

Going by this yardstick we can conclude that the Durham squad (average 9.46) are over 50% 'better' than the Leicestershire squad (average 6.18), they are only, however, 25% 'better' than us.
Back to top Go down
View user profile
Serchers



Number of posts: 3636
Age: 100
Location: Worcs
Registration date: 2008-08-11

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 10:24 am

Thanks Asia, have saved the link for a proper read later. If points are cumulative, what period does it relate to ? Current season only ? Or is it like golf and tennis where it's a constant rolling score ? If the latter, then out mid-table position might be because of a strong 2008, possibly.

I love these kind of stats but at the moment I still don't quite believe or understand them.

Liked the Castle line !

_________________
WCCC : County Champions Elect 2012
Back to top Go down
View user profile
rupert



Number of posts: 448
Age: 77
Location: Worcester
Registration date: 2008-09-11

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 10:54 am

Picking up your AGM post,WBB,I note that several leading football clubs are taking advantage of revised company legislation which does away with the requirement for `small companies`to hold AGMs.I read that Everton,for instance, recently held a `shareholders forum`to deflect criticism of their opting out of AGMs.Their reason for disenfranchising their members was given as the avoidence of `frivolous motions` and ` lack of confidence polls`. Does anyone know if the legislation applies to P&F societies like WCCC-although it certainly does to WCCC Trading Ltd which makes up most of the Club`s activity? I tend to think that the `members` forums`introduced during John Elliott`s time as chairman have usually been a lot more lively and informative than the dull backslapping `middle of winter` AGMs-although they do not ,of course,have the legal power to influence club/company business.
Back to top Go down
View user profile
WBB



Number of posts: 3151
Age: 40
Location: West Bromwich
Registration date: 2008-08-14

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 7:21 pm

I always find it interesting, Rupert, that our AGM is held in February.

March or April would be more inclusive , in my 'umble opinion!
Back to top Go down
View user profile
warrior



Number of posts: 936
Age: 40
Location: Worcester
Registration date: 2008-09-08

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Tue Jul 21, 2009 10:16 pm

Is there to be a Members forum this summer?

I think this would be quite lively!!
Back to top Go down
View user profile
asia exile



Number of posts: 815
Age: 36
Location: India
Registration date: 2008-09-10

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Wed Jul 22, 2009 7:07 am

Quote:
If points are cumulative, what period does it relate to ? Current season only ?


It's all FC competitions in 2009 domestic season only and is correct to at least 17th July.

As promised I have taken away the contribution of Kolpaks and substituted in the average points of the England qualified players in each county side i.e. the squad that would have been playing if it wasn't for the Kolpaks

D2 Leics 6.18 5.76
D2 Middx 6.81 6.74
D2 N'hants 7.15 6.23 down 2
D2 Derby 6.95 6.92
D2 Glam 6.87 6.93 up 2
D2 Surrey 7.32 7.03 down 1
D1 Warks 7.32 7.32
D2 Essex 7.37 7.37
D2 Gloucs 7.47 7.42
D1 Worcs 7.65 7.65
D1 Notts 7.83 7.75
D1 Yorks 8.40 7.84 down 1
D2 Kent 8.22 7.91 up 1
D1 Somerset 9.03 8.11 down 3
D1 Sussex 8.57 8.12 up 1
D1 Hants 8.87 8.60 up 1
D1 Durham 9.46 8.84 down 1
D1 Lancs 8.95 8.87 up 2

Those relying heaviest on Kolpaks with the lowest strength in depth are obviously most impacted - Northants become 12.5% weaker, Somerset 10.5%, Yorkshire 7%, Durham & Leicestershire 6.5%, Sussex 5%, Kent & Surrey 4% and Hants 3%.

All teams get weaker when you remove the Kolpaks - the odd man out is Glamorgan whos current squad actually gets stronger if Garnett Kruger is benched. Middlesex, Derbyshire and Gloucestershire are marginal - the Kolpaks they have are no better than the lads carrying the drinks and Adams at Notts and Du Plessis at Lancs are only slightly better than already strong benches.

Observations

Quote:
Therefore the lower overall squad scores in division 2 must reflect that the performance of the players and therefore the standard of the cricket is lower in division 2 as we have always known but been unable to put our finger on.


If we remove the top and bottom side in each division Division 1 squads are 20% stronger than Division 2.

We thought our cupboard was bare - Leicestershires strength in depth is woeful - without their 4 Kolpaks on paper they are basically a second eleven. All the more galling that they beat us in the FPT.

Boris has a lot of ground to make up on the senior spinners at other counties

Tredwell 209.95 32.07 5
Schofiled 190.14 56.68 10
Patel 166.08 83.18 11
Keedy 165.79 2.68 5
OS Tahir 163.47 18.06 3
OS Kaneira 160.51 25.54 3
Blackwell 148.48 179.89 6
Batty 140.36 31.04 18

You'll be relieved to hear that he is the best fielder though
Back to top Go down
View user profile
the_elegant_yak



Number of posts: 130
Age: 29
Location: Stafford / York
Registration date: 2008-09-09

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Wed Jul 22, 2009 10:25 am

Nooooooooooooo. I never thought I'd see the day that someone on this message board would start labelling their comments with "FACT". The slide down to the level of the bbc message board is now underway and, soon, all we will be able to do is list our preferred England team Smile
Back to top Go down
View user profile
rupert



Number of posts: 448
Age: 77
Location: Worcester
Registration date: 2008-09-11

PostSubject: Re: Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1   Wed Jul 22, 2009 10:44 am

Last time I looked at the table,WCCC were bottom of the First Division.All these stats may excite some people but do nothing to alter our position.Are we the worst team in the land?Daft question We`d only know that if we played them all,wouldn`t we?
Back to top Go down
View user profile
 

Is there a weaker team in Div 2 let alone Div 1

View previous topic View next topic Back to top 
Page 1 of 1

Permissions of this forum:You cannot reply to topics in this forum
WCCC Fans Forum :: Members Discussion Forum :: Statistics-